Are we nearly there yet?

toonsy

Think safety.
The win against Wolves yesterday allowed all those of a black and white persuasion to breath a large collective sigh of relief.

I can only imagine what it would have been like had we lost the match. Thankfully, all I can do is imagine that now as the lads pulled together and put in a performance that was good enough for the win. The fact that it was a 4-1 win was a bonus and goes some way to restoring our goal difference, which is now the best outside of the top six. That has to be worth another point, surely?

So with seven games remaining, and with seven points being the cushion between ourselves in 9th and West Ham in 18th, the question has to be; are we there yet? With 39 points on the board, is safety assured?

Well the simple, and technically correct, answer is no. We are not mathematically safe. However, it would take an awful lot for the other teams to overtake us, especially those teams in the bottom three. currently.

Based on us not picking up another point for the rest of the season, West Ham need to average 1.17 points a game to overcome us, as do Wolves in 19th place. Bottom club Wigan need to average 1.24 points per game to over come us. If we win just one game then West Ham and Wolves will need 1.43 points whilst Wigan will need 1.57 points per game. It’s possible, but realistically it just isn’t going to happen. Wigan and West Ham play each other before the season draws to a close which prohibits them both from getting full points.

I’m not saying that it’s those three teams who are going to be the ones that go down, but it’s just illustrating the point that it would take an awful lot for them to overtake us. As I said earlier, we aren’t safe until it’s mathematically assured, but all bar the shouting we should be over the line as we speak.

Anyway, that is what I think. What I want to know is whether or not you guys think we are safe?

Answer away….

P.S I was digging around earlier, and whilst we are on about stats, I worked out that Newcastle have been more prolific in terms of scoring goals since the sale of Andy Carroll. With Carroll we hit the back of the net an average of 1.63 times per game but since he went to Liverpool that has been raised to 1.66 goals per game. Andy who? 😉

About toonsy

A lifelong Newcastle fan and current webmaster of this very 'blog who has the sole aim of creating a place by Newcastle United fans, for Newcastle United fans.

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148 thoughts on “Are we nearly there yet?”

  9. Indeed. That’s my only other name on there and I only made it because I kept posting pictures of stanley knives up on there to a bloke who’d been attacked by one. I got banned so I created that one to apologise 😆

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  13. “Pardew to put Ben Arfa in Nolan’s hole?”…toonsy,,,was that one of your ditty’s ?… 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 …not sure Nolan will be too happy about that like 😳 😳

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  16. Think people should get the legends on, lets see what Micky has to say about us being top dogs. 🙂

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  22. High School Musical is possibly the shittest thing ever. Right now I feel like stabbing myself as the mrs has it on. It’s brilliant……. apparently 😕 😕 😕 😕

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  27. Stop lieing 😉 you beat me that first time, then second one was a draw 😉

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  34. i carnt see any of the bottom 7 catching us most of them still have each other to play which i think would make it inpossible for them to catch us 😆 😆

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  36. my internets just disconnected me. I wasn’t even being a little ***** and leaving 😛
    won’t let me on now. wtf.

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  40. yeah i was poor. ill play you again dan.. dunno what happened like. that ref was shocckingg.

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  58. DAVE aye monday he gans,must be packing his carrier noo,hope he uses two like they snap easy 😀

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  67. Ice I think he uses them thin blue ones out of the off sales 😆
    Has Wor Batts been on today as he might be helping pack at a cheap rate mind cause Batty is kind like 😉

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  72. cannot understand batty not being on after he said toon would win,maybe got locked up after he gave djg a dig.
    his son doesnt fight till next wk so its not that,thought he would come on and join the 500 club

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