Realistically I’d say that we are just about there, but you can never quite say never and doubts and concern will continue until it is mathematically impossible for us to go down again. I think it will be a few weeks yet before we can say we are mathematically safe, but the best way to avoid any scintilla of trouble is to concentrate on our own game.
Things are still tight as it stands. Currently we have 39 points, but we are still just six points ahead of Blackpool who currently occupy 18th place. If we want to be really certain of avoiding any trouble then we need nine points, but those bottom teams aren’t going to win every game from now until the end of the season.
Again I’m starting to look at other teams here though, which I need to stop. Naughty Toonsy! Instead let’s do as I suggested and look at our remaining fixtures.
Man Utd (h) – Playing Manchester United at any stage is hard enough, and it will be no different this time around. The romantics amongst us may dream of a win, which would be great of course, but there is a reason why we haven’t beaten them in ten years. I’ve got this one down for a loss.
Blackpool (a) – The Seasiders look to be in freefall, which is exactly why I worry about this game. Generally speaking, Blackpool are always good for a goal, which is something I worry about when it comes to Newcastle at the moment. I’d plump for a draw, although a win would be very welcome indeed.
Liverpool (a) – Kenny Dalglish has put a shine on what has been a dismal season for Liverpool. They look set to miss out on Eurpopean football so will be playing for pride alone. We don’t do very well at Anfield, but I’d love it, just love it if we could beat them after the Andy Carroll fiasco. Incidentally, he may not play in the fixture after jarring his knee and potentially damaging ligaments against Arsenal yesterday. I think we’ll lose this one.
Birmingham (h) – A couple of wins looks to have steered Birmingham clear of any relegation problems so hopefully they’ll come to St James’ Park with nothing to play for. I’d like to think that we will have enough to break them down, but I’m never quite certain when we are at home and I’m always cautious when confidently predicting wins for us. However, I’ve got this one down as a tentative win.
Chelsea (a) – Another tough away trip at a ground where we don’t fare too well at. Of course we did win there in the League Cup earlier on in the season, but I expect a very different Chelsea team to be on duty on this occasion. I’ll put this one down as a loss.
West Brom (h) – A home game on the final day of the season is quite a rare event for Newcastle, so I’d like to hope that the players will be geared up for signing off the season with a win against a West Brom side who look likely to survive with us. Home win.
Now I don’t think I’ve been overly optimistic in those predictions and think that they are pretty fair. That would give us seven points from our remaining games which would put us on 46 come the end of play on May 22nd. If every other team won the rest of their remaining games (which is impossible) then we’d be safe as houses still.
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