Newcastle v Aston Villa – Stat Attack!

Still jubilant from their ‘smash & grab’ at Ewood Park on Wednesday, Newcastle United face Aston Villa at St. James’ Park tomorrow looking for their 12th win of the season.

Previously against the Villains, 35 meetings in the Premier League have taken place – 17 wins for the Geordies, 10 draws and 8 losses. At home, that transpires to 11 wins, 4 draws and just 2 defeats; the infamous Bowyer and Dyer scrapping exhibition which ended 0-3 in 2005 and a 0-1 back in 1999.

With that resilient victory over Blackburn, Newcastle have now already have equalled the total wins gained in the 97/98 season, the 98/99 season, the 06/07 season and the 07/08 season (11). Their best win total came in the 95/96 season, where 24 games were won out of 38. Their lowest, 7 wins from 38 in the dreaded relegation season! In their Premier League history, Newcastle have averaged 15 wins per season and 1 more win in his campaign, would see their highest since 05/06 (17 wins).

A look at the past record after 23 games made for some very, very fruitful reading!

NUFC PL History - Similar positions or points

This season’s comparisons:

NUFC v Aston Villa - Defensive comparison
NUFC v Aston Villa - Attacking comparison

Villa this season

• Only Swansea and Stoke have less shots per game than Villa currently, they get off 12.2 on average.

• The Villains have the 4th lowest possession rate in the entire division with just 44.9% possession on average per game.

• A factor of that, only 4 teams have worse pass % rates in the Premier League. Only 74.2% of Villa’s passes are accurate at present.

• Aston Villa have scored the same number of goals as NUFC from open play (22) but they have notched the least in the whole of the top flight for goals from set plays – just 2!

• Only 3 teams play less short passes on average per game than Villa and only 4 teams play less long balls.

• They do however win the 2nd most aerial duels after Stoke City with 14 wins per game on average.

• Also, only the Scum have won more tackles per game than our Midland counterparts and only Bolton intercept more per game on average – Stilian Petrov & Stephen Warnock are in top 3 (1st & 3rd respectively) in the Premier League for interceptions made per game.

• Finally, only Arsenal have a higher % of shots from inside the 18 yard box on average. 53 % of Villa’s shots in the league have come from there so far.


Darren Bent – The England man has 9 goals in 18 Premier League appearances thus far and he has had the most shots on target for Villa this season – 22. He also happens to be the 2nd most offside player in Premiership per game on average after Emmanuel Adebayor.

Stilian Petrov – The centre midfielder is Aston Villa’s top chance creator with 34 so far and he is their top passer – 794/951, 476/635 of which have been produced in the attacking half, again, the most at Villa.

Stephen Warnock – Surprisingly, the full back makes the most passes for Aston Villa in the final third in the Premier League (298). He is also their top tackler with 43 successful from 64 attempted.

Gabriel Agbonlahor – The pacey forward has had most shots at goal for Aston Villa this season in the top league (44), but only 13 have hit the target.

Newcastle have a great chance to stick another 3 points on the board – Villa are not as competent a team as they have been in recent years and with the fans still on Mcleish’s back, a home tie is ideal to add to our superb season so far.

Whilst it would be amazing to see both Demba’s together, this one may come too short for Papiss Cisse, certainly to start anyway, but Demba Ba is expected to return to the starting line up and oh how he’s been missed! A disappointing time in the ACON for him could be eradicated with an inspiring and goal-finding display at St. James’.

Questions still surround the inclusion and performances of Hatem Ben Arfa and Shola Ameobi (as always!) and Ba’s return is likely to see one of them sacrificed for this one. But, a buoyant NUFC crowd and playing/coaching staff should see the Toon through…..comfortably!

NUFC_Stats prediction: 3-1

197 thoughts on “Newcastle v Aston Villa – Stat Attack!

  1. Mark what makes you think I would take offence to that 😕
    As for your views on the regime thats fine and dandy mate, If you want to just get on with supporting Jabba while supporting the team thats your call and I won’t try to change you or hold it against you.
    But I will support the team and continue to do so, but I won’t support Jabba or forgive him for his sins against my club, unless he comes out and repends his sins. I was always taught an old saying ‘ fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me’
    Maybe its just my way but I cant forgive him for all what he has done to my club, even if he has done good, it doesn’t take away what he has done wrong


  2. saw on ed’s blog comment about all our strikers tired and picking those walking. Probably fog.

    However who is starting tomorrow.
    I expect 4-4-2 with Raylor on the right and Ba & Best up front.

    Hopefully after about an hour we will have a triple substitution with Oberton, HBA & Cisse on to go 4-3-3

    Pace wins the game


  3. I see the fat Hammer got himself an early bath today. Reckon he’s going to struggle when West Ham come back up next season.


  4. I don’t know Kimtoon, but this lack of action is snow joke. Going to give my boy a bath instead. Toodle pip 🙂


  5. @Big Dave

    spot on m8. I don’t forgive him for some of the stuff he’s messed up on, so I’m giving him the benefit saying he’s perhaps learning.

    I would still love the naming rights to be addressed, if we don’t have a sponsor soon we should definately revert back to St James as keeping it as SD is another blatant lie to the fans.

    I’m also unsure whether Jabba would of sold Tiote etc if a bid had of been received… so plenty of questions still unaswered for me I just can’t ignore what my main love is.. the first team heading for Europe, for this, I give him some credit for.

    @155 😆 😉 just banter m8


  6. Sorry if its been talked about to death but the thing regarding Ashley & Llambias.

    We all know they’ve made mistakes, bad and numerous ones at that but if they get most of the blame when things have gone wrong then surely they deserve some portion of the credit for when things are going well.

    It was their fault when they appointed Wise, it was their fault appointing Keegan and not following through with promises but now we’re doing well they’ve just got lucky and ‘bumbled’ along and somehow got us into the top 6. They were the ones who appointed Carr and Pardew so if Carr and Pardew deserve credit then surely the people who actually appointed them do as well….


  7. Mark @ 162 thats the thing but so many on here think I and others think ALL he has done is bad, but thats not the case I can see he has done some good. But I think some people go over the top in their praise for him, whilst ignoring or simply not caring about the wrong he has done.
    As for selling Tiote no one really knows for sure but I would be pretty sure if a good offer came in he would have been away. Tis funny as FJ said lastnight that he had agreed to sell Best and no one seems to mention it, now in my mind Best isn’t the best striker in the world but we are low on numbers and we can’t rely on Strolla


  8. Fcking Mackems! Keep putting the pressure on us don’t they?

    If Pardew doesn’t start with Ba and Cisse tomorrow he needs his head testing as the alternatives are a bag of shite.


  9. @BigDave

    I think all of the anti/pro Ashley brigade just like to fight their corner, some more over-the-top than others. But it does make for a good blog as long as nobody steps over the line.

    Aye, I had the Best story in mind whilst typing my last comment. does seem strange to get rid of him considering he’s next in line after Ba and an untried Cisse.


  10. Best is going to feel a lot of pressure to start scoring now. Interesting. He chose to stay and fight for it, so here’s hoping he gets back to scoring and gives Pardew a serious headache up top.


  11. cant wait for the match 2mora!! please pleeeeease pardew if cisse starts as sub PLEEEEEEASE dont bring him on at 83 minutes or something daft like that!! a player cant make an impact in a match in 7 minutes and sometimes pardew puts subs on far too late!!


  12. I tend to agree, Army, Pards often does late subs.

    But on the other hand, he gave HBA the hook at half time the other night. And his subs there were just right.

    I wondered about Pardew’s tactics, but he’s shown a willingness to experiment with formations this season that I don’t recall seeing last season. Maybe I’m looking at that stuff more closely and he’s done it all along.

    I wonder if he’ll try out the 4-2-3-1 thing again with Ba at the top.


  13. i just think cisse will need at least 20 mins – half n hour , but what do i know?? pardew see’s the players every day in training not me 😆


  14. From what I’ve read, Cisse is not Mr. Spectacular goal scorer–rather he gets to the right spot and puts them away simply. I don’t know how dependent he is on great service, but I think Freiburg were not really a great supply-line team. Maybe he just knows where to be. Has anybody seen him play a lot? Is he like Pippo Inzhagi?


    February 4, 2012 at 16:49
    From what I’ve read, Cisse is not Mr. Spectacular goal scorer–rather he gets to the right spot and puts them away simply. I don’t know how dependent he is on great service, but I think Freiburg were not really a great supply-line team. Maybe he just knows where to be. Has anybody seen him play a lot? Is he like Pippo Inzhagi?

    all i care is if the balll hits the back of the net , couldnt care a less if its from 90 yards or a tap in 😀


  16. Bit worried about the weather and how it might impact on the game tommorow. It’s these type of conditions that bring about Red cards and injuries.Having been so hyped up about it i’m gutted that the weather should take such a crap turn for the worst ,it’s just not conducive to good play .


  17. ARMY69
    Cisse seems to be more of a poacher in the sort of Michael Owen mould and appears to have a sixth sense for getting into the right areas from the videos of what I’ve seen.

    Him and Ba given the service, sound like a match made in heaven for us and in hell for the opposition.


  18. Newkie@187-Too right, Dodgy sending off for Huth apparently and yet it was all stoke ,just couldn’t score. Been theyr’e story all season .


  19. KIMTOON, don’t worry about the match going ahead, I’m part of the rapid response football stadium roof construction team that’s just hastily erected a sliding roof over St James’ park.
    Well ok it’s a bit sheet of polythene held up in the middle by 38 taped together brush shanks but the snow appears to be sliding off. 😆


  20. Bigdave@165 , aye spot on there like , the youngins are hungry for succsess I used to be the same but other things matter and are hard to forgive , I’m just happy gannin to The match to watch the lads now but u never know one day we might see a cup 😉


  21. Kimtoon-exactly 😐 We had some slices of luck early on in the season for sure, but seems to be a defining feature of sunderland now….Although admittedly they’ve deserved a lot of their wins through good play…somehow 😕

    Just hope Sessegnon gets bored of that shithole and heads home after the season :mrgreen: Or maybe to us?… 😆


  22. Newkie@193 Reckon he’s off home come the summer meself . I’m hopeing to see a reincarnation of the Ferdie/Big AL understanding between Ba & Cisse .


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