Arsenal v Newcastle – Stat Attack

Well what a time to play Arsenal! NUFC face a Gunners side that are off the back of 4 wins in their last 4 Premier League games, amassing 16 goals. A 7-1 demolition of Blackburn and a 5-3 comeback v Spurs the main reason for those goals, and 4 nights ago they managed to tear up the Italian Champions, Milan, 3-0.

Newcastle approach the game in the proverbial ‘sticky patch’ – 2 points from the last 3 games, 3 scored and 8 conceded. Historically in the Premier League, NUFC have met Arsenal 35 times, winning 9, drawing 10 and losing 16.

The last 2 meetings between these two have ended in draws, both at SJP – a 0-0 in August and that cracking 4-4 comeback in February last year, and the last 10 Premier League games between the two have seen 5 draws in total. Away to the Wenger’s men, Newcastle have gained 4 wins and 7 losses from 17 fixtures.

Arsenal under the microscope

Arsenal have the best average possession rating, alongside City, in the Premier League currently – 58.1%. At the Emirates alone, it is 60.1%, which is the best in the division for home games.

They concede the lowest shots per game on average alongside City and Chelsea, and only Spurs and City get more shots on target per game in the league at present – 6.3.

The Gunners are the ‘top dribblers’ in England’s elite league – 9.4 successful dribbles per game they produce.

Only Man Utd have scored more goals this season in the Premier League than Arsenal from open play – 41 (NUFC 26).

No team has scored more goals than Arsenal from a counter attack. With 8 so far, they are 3 ahead of next placed Manchester City. NUFC have notched just the 1 (Obertan v Blackburn).

Only Aston Villa (2) have scored less goals this season from set plays though – just 5 they’ve managed.

Arsenal have score the joint least number of penalties in the PL alongside 5under1and, Liverpool, WBA & Norwich – 1. They also haven’t been the beneficiary of a single own goal so far compared to Newcastle who have with 4.

The Gunners attack predominately from their right hand side – 37% of their attacks have been initiated there and 21% of their shots (only Chelsea have more).

They have the highest percentage of goals from inside the 18 yard box in the entire league (56%), which means they have lowest from outside – 37%.

Who’s dangerous?

What can you say about Robin van Persie that hasn’t already been said? The Dutchman has notched 25 Premier League goals already and 8 assists. Only Wayne Rooney has more shots per game than him – he’s had 120 so far; Arsenal’s next most is Theo Walcott who has managed just 65. And, is if all those shots and goals weren’t enough, RVP has created most chances at the club too – 65.

Robin van Persie - Attacking stats

Alex Song is an underrated player at the Gunners. He is the top ‘dribble stopper’ in the whole of the Premier League (1.6 per game) and he also produces more through balls per game than any other top division player – 0.7.

Mikel Arteta will be the one to tick Arsenal over. He is the 2nd top passer per game in the league behind Yaya Toure with 78.6 and he makes more passes in the attacking half than anyone else at Arsenal.

Laurent Koscielny is a very good defender. He has participated in, and won, more tackles at Arsenal than anyone else and he has won the most total and headed clearances, as well as the most ground duels.

How to win this one

Newcastle will have to use similar tactics to those at the beginning of the season. Arsenal are prone to set piece attacks so with Ryan Taylor and Yohan Cabaye, NUFC need to play with quality when the opportunity to get the ball in the box arises.

Also, Arsenal can be exposed from time to time at full back. Which ever players start on those flanks, they have got to be positive-minded and be prepared to have a go at getting past their men. Ben Arfa would be ideal for this, especially on NUFC’s right as Arsenal don’t possess the same attacking threat on their left hand side as they do their right.

Newcastle have got to be prepared to defend Arsenal’s counter. They have more goals than anyone in the league from those situations this season and in players like Walcott, they have the pace and energy to hurt you every time.

Speaking of Walcott, NUFC have got to be defensively sound on their left hand side. The aforementioned stats show Arsenal’s keenness to attack down there and Walcott and Sagna have struck a great understanding of late. The graphic below shows the chances created by Arsenal in their last 4 PL games and the frequency of creation from the right.

Arsenal chances - last 4 PL games

There are no two ways about this one – it’s going to be tough. The Magpies are unbeaten in their last couple of games, but it has been the manner of the points picked up that has frustrated the SJP faithful; at home, Newcastle really should be doing better.

Chances will come few and far between on Monday, as Arsenal will see the majority of the ball, so when they do creep up, Ba, Cisse & Co. have got to be on top form to ensure NUFC take something away….a mega difficult task!

NUFC_Stats prediction: 3-1 Arsenal

53 thoughts on “Arsenal v Newcastle – Stat Attack

  1. grasping at straws. Arsenal are famously erratic and due an off day. Also expecting us to be allowed to play and find space I think that Cisse, Ba & HBA are going to destroy their defence.

    Simmo, Willo, Colo, Raylor
    Jonas, Tiote, Cabaye
    HBA, Cisse, Ba


  2. Wow. Arsenal fan here and just stumbled on your blog. Very informative and well researched.
    Most arsenal blogs moan about Wenger and lack of this and that and are frankly dull.
    Love your blog. I for one will be following.
    Looking forward to the game and seeing your Senegalese duo in action. George


  3. Very informative, if a bit frightening, Statto. Lets hope we raise our game, as we often, not always, do against the top teams.
    Prem I dont think we can play raylor, he gets ripped apart by pace.
    Lets hope for a hard fought for draw.


  4. Who knows what will happen i expected a humping at their place last season ironically the match after the derby and we won, We’ve taken 4 points off Manure so we can match the best sides on a good day…

    —-Ben Arfa————————————–Gutierrez–


  5. Cheers Statto, I’m bricking it now 😉 great read as ever.

    George.R… you should read the ones he doesn’t knock out in his tea break 😉


  6. Statto another fine stat attack mate. I would be well pleased with a point, but our defence will have to play out of their skin, and sadly I just cant see it happening. 👿


  7. We will have Krul, Willo, Colo, Tiote, Cabaye, & Ba starting.
    Raylor & Jonas will be in for their workrate
    Cisse is being given time to settle in so will start.
    so two places up for grabs.
    HBA because Arsenal is ideal for him to attack.
    and a full back, Simmo or Santon.

    Hence my line up above.


  8. Great read. It should be a tight match!!

    Off the point a little, but with our finances just being released, it would be interesting to see a league table based on debt rather than points… Man U and Man C would most likely be relegation fodder!! Not sure if the numbers are available, but it would be interesting to compare debt league to actual standings… 😀 😀


  9. Statto-Wow ,brilliant as ever ,Doesn’t help me nerves none though 😆

    George r@2- nice to hear from an opposition fan who doesn’t result to mindless insults .

    Shanghaitoon@8- Funny you should mention that ,i heard on 5live two weeks ago ,apparently Manure are 750m in the red! ,rather them than us. 😯


  10. Hope to see Benny get a start on monday ,reckon it’s taylor made for him .Truth is we been so toothless in attack which is amazing when you consider we have two frontmen like Ba and Cisse ,HBA gives our frontline more guile and bite ,want to see play in the hole if possible but would settle for the wing if it means he gets a game.What say others?


  11. My team against Arsenal:

    Banks (Gordon)
    Paulo Maldini circa 1997
    Franco Baresi
    Warren Barton
    Charlton (Bobby)
    Micky Quinn


  12. The first one is hard to spot to be fair considering the speed that happened i thought it had hit the bar and bounced out and the lad on the post was blocking his view but the second is a shocker hes so clearly off… 🙄


  13. Good to have ya around George.
    I’m scared of this fixture to be honest. Willo could get ripped apart, and with that high defensive line we play, Krul will have to play his most dominating game yet!

    Ben Arfa has to start for me. No way can he be left out of our attack now. If only he could get his head up for more little passes to the Dembas


  14. Interesting to see how that Taiwo does. We were linked with him for ages and I’ve not seen him since he moved to QPR.

    Really I’m just looking at teams who may get relegated and trying to cherry pick their players 😆


  15. Gerrald on bench for Pool game against Scum . Lets hope he comes off it and does to them what he did against us.


  16. Looks like QPR going down as th.ey have a ridiculously difficult run in. I would like to seeing more than them to go down. Not just because of Barton but I thought they treated Warnock outrageously.


  17. toonsy

    For me hes one reason but the media bumlicking they got before we played them at their place and their cringeworthy owner asking fans who they should buy in january… 🙄


  18. Stuart – Their run-in is awful

    H Liverpool
    A Sunderland
    H Arsenal
    H Swansea City
    A WBA
    H Tottenham
    A Chelsea
    H Stoke City
    A Manchester City

    Good good.

    Meanwhile the club with a lack of ambition sits 6th 🙂


  19. Anyone see Hughes the fckin prick having a go at the linesman who didn’t give them a goal in the first half? What a knob. They scored with a goal that was a yard off side. Bet he forgets that though.

    Utter hypocrisy.


  20. Stuart@26 – they are reaping what they sowed now and serves em right as ,yes Warnock was treated with a total lack of respect and Barton didn’t cover himself in glory either. Allthat talk on twitter about we finally have a game plan after sparky’s first training session was out of order. The so called plan ain’t working so far and Warnocks tatics got them promoted .


  21. Warnocks Leeds are 6 points off playoff places ,would be funny if he got them into playoffs and promoted and QPR go down.


  22. To be fair, most here were concerned about a bigger club taking Barton when he was here so it seems a bit funny most now are claiming he isn’t that good, lol.

    He has had an off season. Gerrard has been off for about 2 or 3 years now, same with Torres, and people in the know still claim they are god’s gift despite being crap. Barton last year is still better than any wide player we’ve had this year so far.

    I think we need to look at adjusting Obertan to a striker, he has scored against Blackburn and in the reserve match against Sunderland when allowed up top.

    His pace will kill any defender and he is a calm finisher when one on one, not trying to score from the wing. We need to adjust him, he will be deadly up front.


  23. “To be fair, most here were concerned about a bigger club taking Barton”….really? don’t remember that at all
    “it seems a bit funny most now are claiming he isn’t that good lol”…..their saying he’s been poor this season for QPR, which is what you say in your nexrt sentence 😉


  24. To be fair, Warnocks treatment was no worse than Hughton’s by Ashley…..CH’s was probably worse, so we can hardly wish a team to be relegated on that reasoning……..or can we? 😆


  25. I remember people saying that regularly, worried about Barton’s issues with the owner and him leaving. Don’t act like it didn’t happen, lol.

    Yes, I did say that, he has been poor this season, but people acting like he is a poor player now are…. well, stupid.


  26. Richie@42- I think it’s the clubs delusions of grandure and throw money at it approach that get’s up the nose with oppo fans ,plus the fact they only been back up 5 mins in all honesty.


  27. FJ….you said “most” were concerned he’d end up at a “bigger” club, that didn’t happen… the moment he is a poor player, that’s all “most” are saying……if you have to make things up to make you feel good then carry on, it makes you look……well, stupid.

    KimT….agree with all that and Warnock’s treatment was shoddy(even though, I can’t stand him)….j.ust saying we can’t really have a go purely on the Warnock thing


  28. Richie -I do agree Hughton’s treatment by our owners was poor . I find myself wondering how we would be doing if he were still here sometimes .


  29. KimT…Who knows, not saying it was the wrong decision but then sacking Warnock might also be the right decision for QPR longterm, again…who knows.

    Dave 😉


  30. Forget Pardew taking consideration of these Arsenal facts. He will play the same team as vs Sunderland with the high line. I am not optimistic for this one and all signs suggest a severe thrashing


  31. Great, now Everton have beat Tottenham, meaning Arsenal have even more ammo to play well on Monday.

    Not what we needed.


  32. This could be an interesting claash as Arsenal are on top form, especially since they have had good score lines their last few games. So interesting that we have launched a predict the score competition on our Facebook page where the winner win 100 points to use at Take a punt:


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