West Brom v Newcastle: Stat Attack

West Bromich Albion are the 30th fixture for Newcastle United this campaign. A trip to The Hawthorns to play a team who have picked up 14 points in their last 8 Premier League, a total beaten only by the current top 3.

NUFC have played WBA 11 times since the birth of the Premier League – 6 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws. However, West Brom are unbeaten v Newcastle in the their last 6 games in all competition and they have scored at least 3 goals in their last 4 matches against Newcastle.

Sunday is a chance to continue from the hard fought 3 points against Norwich and keep the European dream very much alive. With Liverpool stuck in the rut they are, NUFC need to keep squeezing points out of their remaining fixtures and this one is a good chance to do so. Only 4 teams (Stoke, Chelsea, Spurs & QPR) have picked up fewer points from their last 5 home games than WBA.

What they do…

Only Norwich concede less fouls per game than WBA currently in the Premier League – 9.2.

Only Manchester City & Arsenal have scored more from a fast break this season – 3.

West Brom have produced the 6th most goals from set plays in the top flight this season (12).

The Baggies currently manufacture just 21 crosses per game on average – only 4 teams make less.

Only Man City and Arsenal play less long balls per game than WBA currently on average (58). NUFC play 67 per game.

Only Norwich, Man Utd & Swansea have committed less fouls in the division so far so far – Newcastle have been given more cards for unprofessional fouls than any team in the Premier League (7).

The Baggies are top the list with Chelsea, Spurs and City for cards given for diving – 2.

Only Chelsea have had a higher percentage of shots from the right hand side this season – 20%.

Only City & Liverpool have a higher percentage of average possession in the opponents half than WBA – 30%.

Who’s a threat?

Youssuf Mulumbu has made more passes than anyone at WBA and has the best passing accuracy (85%). He makes most passes in his own half at WBA; it is James Morrison who makes most for them in the attacking half and the final third.

Speaking of Morrison, he has created the most chances this season at West Brom in the Premier League (55), 40 of which have come from open play. He has most goal assists from open play at the club (3) and he has completed the most successful dribbles (32) too.

James Morrison is having an impressive campaign

Chris Brunt is another player NUFC need to keep an eye on. He was a menace when the sides met back in December at SJP, especially with his set plays. The Irishman has created more chances from set pieces than anyone at WBA (17) and he has the most assists from those situations (4) and most total assists (6).

Peter Odemwingie is another West Brom player who has caused Newcastle United problems in the past. The forward has 9 Premier League goals this season from just 19 shots on target from 56 shots in total. He has a 46% shot accuracy and the best chance conversion rate at West Brom (22%).

How to win this one

Newcastle cant expect to see too much of the ball on Sunday. Norwich had the higher of the possession at SJP last weekend and out passed NUFC for long periods and WBA will look to do exactly the same.

The 3 midfielder strategy Pardew employed didn’t work in its entirety; Norwich got down the sides far too easily. Expect to see the team revert to the much-loved 4-4-2, with HBA possibly missing out.

The stats show that West Brom don’t cross the ball too often, contrary to belief, and they rarely play the longer ball. But, what they will do, is get the ball in the box early and with quality.

Newcastle have got to be at their best when WBA are given opportunities from set plays to get the ball in their area, especially when Brunt is standing over them. More importantly, Newcastle must react quickest to the second balls in those danger areas. The graphic below shows WBA’s last 10 assisted goals in the Premier League – notice the amount of short assists in the penalty that regularly come from knock downs and loose second balls, as well as those coming from ‘medium’ knocks into the box.

WBA - Last 10 assisted Premier League goals

On the front foot, Newcastle will continue to try and get the ball to Ba and Cisse early, but they must get up and support the frontmen with a lot more urgency than last week. Part of that must come from allowing Yohan Cabaye to play a little higher up and restrict his depth, especially if Cheik Tiote plays.

West Brom are in very good form at present, but like every team they have their weaknesses. On paper, Newcastle United have the stronger eleven and if the right Magpies turns up, 3 points could be in the bag. Not sure that will be the case though!

NUFC_Stats prediction: 2-2

44 thoughts on “West Brom v Newcastle: Stat Attack

  1. Good read stats as always. I got us down for a draw in this one ,though i may be being a tad optomistic there. We simply have to turn up firing on all cylinders or we will be done good and proper .They do seem to have become somewhat of a bogey side for us ,I think it goes back to the fizzy pop league when we we’re vying for 1st place. Basicly don’t give any time on the ball to Mulumbu don’t concede any setplays cause of Brunt and attach a ball and chain to Odemwingie and Morrison and we’ll be alright . 😉 🙄


  2. ive got 2pound on newcastle to win this 4-1 at 100/1 haha !! 200 squid would be canny mind!!! i would settle for a point tomorrow , west brom seem to do well against us and are in canny form!! stats said we could drop benny boy!! i hope we dont!! hes to good for the bench imo


  3. As I have been saying if we play the same as we have in the last few games we’ll get punished. I also think they could tie Willo in knots leaving him with no option but to grab hold.
    Although some on here thought there should be no probs beating them because we’re a top 6 team


  4. Not an easy game by any stretch and would be surprised if we got anything. Been to the last two at the Hawthorns and we’ve been outplayed in both despite having supposedly a better team and I think that trend will continue.

    Be very happy with a point.


  5. We really owe them one for the last few matches weve played against them.

    They are a good side and i think woyston is a class manager but we can beat them if we play to our ability…


  6. Really surprised by the long ball stat, only 9 more than WBA who do it the third least in the league.

    We’ve leaked goals against them recently and I can’t see that changing tomorrow tbh, will all depend on if the likes of HBA and Ba are on song.

    The keeping of possession really needs to be focused on this summer, the players we have we should be seeing a lot more of the ball. It’s no wonder we look knackered every game, it’s so much more tiring chasing the ball.

    I’m going for 3-3, Cisse to get his first 90 minutes and equalise for us in injury time to give us that momentum to nail 6th place :mrgreen:


  7. well something has to give donsnt it. its going to go one of two ways… we keep on playing like we have been all year and are in for a torrid time and will prob lose or we turn up and put in a much overdue top draw performance and win. We cant go on playing pants nad getting a draw or a win and in the same breath.. sooner or later we will have a sublime game.. i have no idea which it will be tmrw. i think it will be either 3-1 them or 1-3 to us.


  8. I can’t see us keeping them out for 90minutes. If we get anything I think it will be a case of Ba and Cisse turning up and ‘scoring one more than you’.


  9. Cisse is a real asset like, create chances for him and he will put them away, he has shown that already. The previous thread ‘what positions need strengthening’. Someone who can supply the forwards more often would be nice.


  10. Just watching this Chelsea v Tottenham game. 26 minutes, no attempts at goal, just passing in the middle of the park. I personally call it a shit game, but I’ve just heard it described as a “patient and tactical affair” 😐


  11. WBA looked really dangerous against the scum and were outstanding on the counter attack. We need all of our players to be switched on from the first to the final whistle.

    Just saw Toonsys last post and that’s not brilliant news like but Perch is in really good form at the moment and I’d be happy to see him continue to fill in.
    I think it’s time to try the diamond formation


    I’ve put Jonas in but being honest, I’d sooner see Fergie there but dont see him getting the nod ahead of jonas.


  12. It’s awful isn’t it. The most amusing thing is Gareth Bale believing his own hype and shooting from everywhere 😆


  13. Toonsy,whenever it concerns of a league position,and UCL qualification for next season. Matches like this always are that boring. 😐

    But anyway would love spurs to win though. 😉


  14. A cheeky little 1-0 spurs win would do our chances of qualifying automatically for Europe the world of good.
    Could you imagine the “mighty” Chelski only qualifying for Europe through the back door or even missing out because Everton, Bolton or the scum make the final?!

    Wonder how many of our players they’d be sniffing round then?!


  15. everyone is constantly reporting that Chelsea is going to completely remake their squad in the summer. My question is how? They lost 70M last year and all the players they want rid of are old and on massive wages- noone’s going to want to buy them


  16. I’m still waiting for the pundits to label a dour game a “defensive masterclass” or some bollocks like that.


  17. FSOTC – You’ll get a few variations of it no doubt, but the one I know of is that it comes from a song sang against them called “In your Liverpool slums”

    The original was: “We speak with an accent exceedingly rare,Stand under a statue exceedingly bare, If you want a cathedral we’ve got one to spare, In our Liverpool home.”

    Which was changed by opposing fans to: “You look in a dustbin for something to eat,You find a dead cat and you think it’s a treat, In your Liverpool slums, In your Liverpool slums.”

    Slums because it’s a shithole basically. Even the brothel I once visited in Liverpool lacked class 😆

    Bindippers = Looking in bins or food basically


  18. FSOTC – It’s an awful place. The City Centre is proper smart and snazzy, like most cities, but the outskirts aren’t.


  19. Fair enough–but every city has its glory and its hellholes. Except Sunderland, if you lot are to be believed.

    What do they sing against you born and bred Geordies, I wonder? Is there no part of Newcastle that’s run down and seen better days. Must be…


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