Swansea v Newcastle – Stat Attack!

For the first time this season, NUFC come off the back of 3 wins. 53 points amassed thus far, already 7 more than the whole of last season and eight other previous Premier League campaigns.

Newcastle appear to be thriving on the fact that they have Europe in their sights and a continuation of their recent form should see them reach their goal. The 03/04 season saw NUFC finish with 56 pts and that got them 5th, and the 01/02 season had them finish with 71 points which got them 4th; their 2 most significant finishes in recent years.

Newcastle took 4 points off Swansea in the Championship and the first time they met in England’s top flight brought about a bore 0-0 draw at SJP back in December 2011. The Swans are 1 of only 3 sides, along with Arsenal & Chelsea, to have prevented the Toon from scoring at home.

In Demba Ba (16) & Papiss Cisse (7), Newcastle have strike force that have notched 23 goals this campaign, but that is the same as Swansea’s Danny Graham (10), Scott Sinclair (7) & Gylfi Sigurdsson (6) have managed.

Swansea have lost their last 2 in a row, where NUFC have won their last 3 in a row, but the Mighty Mags have lost 6 of their 8 in the league this season away from home.


Only Stoke have less shots per game and less shots on target per game on average in the top flight than Swansea.

They have the best disciplinary record in the league – just 35 yellows and 2 reds all season so far, committing the least fouls per game on average – 8.5.

Only the two Manchester sides and Arsenal have a higher average possession in the Premier League – 56.8%.

Only the current top 2 in the division have a better pass success rate than the Swans – 85.2%.

Swansea have the worst aerial win rate per game in the entire league – just 6.4.

Only Blackburn produce less crosses per game on average in the Premier League than Swansea currently – 18.

Only City & Arsenal produce on average more short passes per game at present in the top division – 490. NUFC produce 330, the 13th best.

Swansea still initiate more attacks from the right hand side on average than any team in England’s top flight – 42%.

Only Blackburn spend more possession in their own half than Swansea – 31%, meaning they spend the least in the attacking half – 22%.

Keep an eye on…

Mark Gower – The relatively unknown Englishmen has created most chances for Swansea this season (36), the 11th best chance creator in the whole of the Premier League. Not surprisingly, he has most assists at the club too – 5.

Ashley Williams – The centre back is key to Swansea’s passing game, especially out from the back. He has made more total passes and passes in his own half than any other Swansea player and is the leagues 4th top ‘passer per game’. He makes most headed and total clearances at the club as well as winning possession in the defensive third more than any other ‘Swan’.

Scott Sinclair – The quick winger has been a revelation at Swansea this season. He’s produced most attempted and successful dribbles at the club in the Premier League, the 7th most frequent dribbler in the entire division. He also wins possession more than any other Swansea player in the attacking third and has had more shots than anyone else at the club.

To get 3 points…

Alan Pardew may look to change the system for this one. Newcastle can expect to have large periods without the ball, but without any intense pressure and a reversion to 4-4-2 will narrow the gaps in which Swansea will look to play.

Swansea wont ‘lump’ the ball in the box like recent opposition, they will look to play calmly through Newcastle’s units, but they will look to get Sinclair on the ball down that right hand side. Again, a reversion to 4-4-2 will give Jonas and such like more license to double up on Swansea’s wide attacks.

On the flip side, 4-4-3 makes NUFC extremely dangerous and there aren’t many better plying their trade at the moment than the Toon’s spearheads. Get the ball to them, in-between the Swans’ possession, and they will hurt!

Swansea - Opposition chances created in last 4 home games

A look at the chances created by Swansea’s opposition in their last 4 Premier League home games shows how they are vulnerable from the cross, particularly from the left hand side.

NUFC will need to work the ball into the final third and manufacture good, quality delivery to the box; Swansea’s defence are very competent in possession but aerially they are lacking.

Newcastle have been very hit and miss away from home in the league this season and if they are to continue their push for European, they will have to work hard, particularly behind the ball to get something out of this one.

Having said that, NUFC are arguably in their best purple patch to date, seeing off the last 3 opposition with impressive attacking prowess. Swansea will not want their good efforts this season to diminish at this stage and will be looking to get back on track with this home number. This one could go either way…

NUFC_Stats prediction: 1-1

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91 thoughts on “Swansea v Newcastle – Stat Attack!

  1. Soooo. Brucey reckons the sheer hatred of the Tyne-wear derby and nastiness in soapstarvedland toward all things Geordie drove him out of his job. Hmm. And spending the clubs hamper money on Man U cast-offs and propelling the unwashed toward the plughole had nowt to do with that then? He has to be a reference model, Grade One, S-Bend jamming log to try and spin that crock. Because he sold out his Geordie status not least by allying himself with that set of monkeys down the road in the first place. Am I right he distanced himself from managing us at one time? Sorry t go so off-topic but gahh he makes me so…… 👿 👿 👿


  2. Kim – I saw that, he looked a real talent before his injury. I think the thinking behind it is that he is still young enough to get back to the player he was before the injury. He also seems to be a sensible lad and at £2m would be a low cost risk. I agreed with your earlier point though (just didn’t have time to post), it’s not really a position which would be a priority for us … that said, if a talented young player becomes available we would be right to act quickly


  3. Andy @74 funny enough the night I was calling to mind was that friendly with Barca some years back when Kluivert & co gave us the customary Catalan lesson in fine footy (we weren’t a shabby side either) and we were done 3-0, two from the man himself who…. well never mind that’s another crap story. That one was just a friendly, but a great night, great atmosphere. I want that back.


  4. kimtoon
    yeah its usually the ones that never really did much in the footballing career that do the best, that’s why shearer (though never was given a proper chance) didnt go so well, same as maradona.


  5. Andy – I was at SJP 1997 when Tino destroyed Barca. I’ve never been to a game like it, to be fair they werent the force they are now but still a great team. People have said that they just knew we were going to win that night but I didn’t, my arse twitched like a rabbits nose the whole game. We were immense that night, totally fearless, we were either going to win or get hammered because we just kept going at them. Never been more proud of the team, well 5-0 against Man Utd was very close.
    SJP was built for European football though.


  6. [email protected] Very interesting read that,Can’t believe the disparity between us and Liverpool as regards shirt manufacturer/sponsorship deal though.Their £42m to our measly £5m ,makes our on field success all the more remarkable really. That’s why we need European footie and CL next year if poss to inject some much needed cash into the club coffers .But it must be used to strengthen the squad so that we can maintain our new status should it be acheived.


  7. DJG @80 – just read that article and you beat me to posting it. Interesting stuff, most is observational but the part about the ‘1’s’ and ‘2’s’ was fascinating and gave more insight into the way the clock ticks at NUFC these days. The ‘Perchinho Effect’? 😎


  8. [email protected] I loved tino that night he was brilliant .But for me the 5.0 over Manure was pure joy .Always remember the commentator giving it ” Phillipe ALBERTTTT” going several octaves higher on the surname when he struck that stunner, joy pure joy . Right on that note i’m off to bed with a happy thought 😀 night all .


  9. Do we ‘go for it’ like Leeds or do we keep our cards close to our chest? I think keep on going the way we are. This season we expected to struggle and did well. We should stick to this gameplan now, even if it means selling a player in the summer, we hold the aces.


  10. sharpy and kim
    Seen both games highlights loads as I was 1 and 3 for the games 😆 Would love to see Hatem break past pique and puyol to slot it past valdes, messi shaking his hand out of respect. Would love even more so to replace Hatem with Andrew and him with me/my :mrgreen:


  11. Sorry this is a bit off topic but it is about statistics, so I guess it’s fairly relevant. The stat that I’m interested in is the size of our squad. I keep hearing people saying that the squad is too small and that we need to increase the numbers, especially if we qualify for Europe, but that simply doesn’t seem to be the case. It looks to me like our squad is exactly the right size – it’s just the strength in depth that’s lacking.

    The thing that a lot of people seem to be overlooking is that, at the beginning of next season, we will have to name our 25-man squad for the Premier League (although we don’t need to include any players aged under 21). As far as I can see we’ve already got 25 players that would need to be named (in fact we’ve got 26 if you include Xisco)

    So it’s all very well saying “yeah, let’s get Douglas and Pieters and Amalfitano and …….” etc. but we need to bear in mind that an equivalent number of players would need to be shipped out to make room for them. And even those two lads that were mentioned earlier (Butterfield and Rodriguez) – neither of them would qualify as under-21 players, so we’d need to find a way of squeezing their names into the squad as well. By all means lets bring in lots of promising youngsters, but we need them to be as young as players like Abeid and Vuckic, so that they don’t need to named in the squad.

    If all these rumours about incoming players are true, then the only conclusion I can come to is that we’re heading for a massive clear-out in the summer.


    ps. for what it’s worth, this was my head count of the current squad (excluding the under 21’s)

    1 Krul
    2 Elliot
    3 Harper
    4 Forster

    5 Coloccini
    6 S Taylor
    7 R Taylor
    8 Williamson
    9 Perch
    10 Simpson
    11 Kadar

    12 Tiote
    13 Cabaye
    14 Ben Arfa
    15 Jonas
    16 Obertan
    17 Marveaux
    18 Guthrie
    19 Gosling
    20 Smith

    21 Cisse
    22 Ba
    23 Shola Ameobi
    24 Best
    25 Lovenkrands
    + Xisco

    The following players (showing dates of birth) are the ones who I believe qualify as under 21’s and therefore weren’t included in the above list

    Santon (2 Jan 1991)
    Ranger (11 Apr 1991)
    Ferguson (12 July 1991)
    Tavernier (31 Oct 1991)
    Sammy Ameobi (1 May 1992)
    Abeid (6 Aug 1992)
    Vuckic (21 Aug 1992)

    These two players were qualified as under 21’s for this season but no longer would be from next year onwards:

    Kadar (14 Mar 1990)
    Gosling (1 Feb 1990)

    “An Under 21 player is defined as one who is under the age of 21 on 1st January in the year in which the season commences. For the 2012/13 campaign Under 21 players will have been born on or after 1st January 1991”.


  12. Hope City can smash Arsenal this weekend…we need Arsenal to crumple from this form so that we’re within a shout of CL…
    good to hear about Terry’s ribs as well…. 😉


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