Are we nearly there yet?

toonsy

Think safety.
The win against Wolves yesterday allowed all those of a black and white persuasion to breath a large collective sigh of relief.

I can only imagine what it would have been like had we lost the match. Thankfully, all I can do is imagine that now as the lads pulled together and put in a performance that was good enough for the win. The fact that it was a 4-1 win was a bonus and goes some way to restoring our goal difference, which is now the best outside of the top six. That has to be worth another point, surely?

So with seven games remaining, and with seven points being the cushion between ourselves in 9th and West Ham in 18th, the question has to be; are we there yet? With 39 points on the board, is safety assured?

Well the simple, and technically correct, answer is no. We are not mathematically safe. However, it would take an awful lot for the other teams to overtake us, especially those teams in the bottom three. currently.

Based on us not picking up another point for the rest of the season, West Ham need to average 1.17 points a game to overcome us, as do Wolves in 19th place. Bottom club Wigan need to average 1.24 points per game to over come us. If we win just one game then West Ham and Wolves will need 1.43 points whilst Wigan will need 1.57 points per game. It’s possible, but realistically it just isn’t going to happen. Wigan and West Ham play each other before the season draws to a close which prohibits them both from getting full points.

I’m not saying that it’s those three teams who are going to be the ones that go down, but it’s just illustrating the point that it would take an awful lot for them to overtake us. As I said earlier, we aren’t safe until it’s mathematically assured, but all bar the shouting we should be over the line as we speak.

Anyway, that is what I think. What I want to know is whether or not you guys think we are safe?

Answer away….

P.S I was digging around earlier, and whilst we are on about stats, I worked out that Newcastle have been more prolific in terms of scoring goals since the sale of Andy Carroll. With Carroll we hit the back of the net an average of 1.63 times per game but since he went to Liverpool that has been raised to 1.66 goals per game. Andy who? 😉

About toonsy

A lifelong Newcastle fan and current webmaster of this very 'blog who has the sole aim of creating a place by Newcastle United fans, for Newcastle United fans.

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148 thoughts on “Are we nearly there yet?”

  3. TOONSY what where the 3 bottom sides at xmas,do you know off hand,i cannot remember,after boxing day like ❓

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  4. i think we wil win 2more games out of the 7 weve got left , birmingham and west brom!! a draw agaist blacpool and possibly aganst villa

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  5. Yes we’re nearly there, now sit down and stop asking me are we near there yet 😆 😆
    Toonsy be a diamond when you get the chance and look up them other stats I was asking about 😀
    I wouldn’t even know where to look or if its possible 😉

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  6. so thats 8 more pts which will hit 47pts !! i think we are gna finish around 11th place that is more than gud 4 our first season back in the prem!! roll on 35 million that we wont probz get lol

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  9. i think 1 more win would secure prem footy like!! cant see the bottom 3 getting 10pts from 7 games like!!

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  12. villa hav stil got gud players tho and are capable of playn well, hopefully they carry on there **** footy next sunday and 42 pts for us!!!

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  13. so pardues gna play ben arfa number 10 next season then?? wey thats bluddy gud ive got ben arfa 37 on my toon top lol

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  14. “P.S I was digging around earlier, and whilst we are on about stats, I worked out that Newcastle have been more prolific in terms of scoring goals since the sale of Andy Carroll. With Carroll we hit the back of the net an average of 1.63 times per game but since he went to Liverpool that has been raised to 1.66 goals per game. Andy who? ”

    Absolute gem of a stat haha 😀

    Anyway….we’re safe we’re safe! Europe anyone?
    😎

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  17. Can’t believe Sunderlands last goal was Gyan’s against Spurs 😯 😆

    Sunderland are sh*te man, Cattermole and Henderson are so overrated.

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  19. Ice im good mate it is an exclusive club 😉 and if Toonsy had his way we wouldn’t have formed it 😀
    Army atleast you got a yr out of your number and the Name is still the same 😉 my wee lad never even got 6 mths out of his No9 or ( JUDAS ) 👿

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  20. we woulda had more pts than 45 if ben arfa was stil playin like !! we woulda been pushing towards 50pts now , the lad is brilliant!! had any of yous watchd him when he played for marseille??? he will make guthrie luk like a sunday league player!!!

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  22. true true , ben arfa number 10 sounds class tho , IM SO EXCITED!! gervinho and tarrabt please than newcastle will be pushing for silverware OH nd a gud defender or 2 !!!

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  24. Its funny isn’t it how newcastle are always 2 or 3 good players from being really good, why don’t we just splash some cash and get them in! 🙂

    3-0 😀

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  27. Gotta laugh Gary Bennett said on radio newcastle on friday night. man City are there for the taking. Three nowt doon not an attempt worthy of a mention. What is in these Mackems coffee

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  28. henderson is absolutely ****!! he had an ok start of the season but like wot sum1 said b4 some of his passing is crap1!

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  29. Army- I think number 10 will be his position, like just off the striker, i think he will keep with 37 as his squad number

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  30. Any of you guys know how the ‘parachute payments’ work if you retain league status?

    Could be another factor to add to our summer budget?

    Also the prize money from premier league positioning?

    Just a thought, we keep looking at the £35m but there are other factors, or would they be part of the percentage game Ashley plays in running costs of the club?

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  31. MAN CITY 3 SUNDERLAND 0!!!!! WE ARE TOP OF SUNDERLAND I SAID WE ARE TOP OF SUNDERLAND!!!!!

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  40. 4-0 hahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahahahahahahahhaahahahahhahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahahahhahahahahahahhahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

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  41. Ice as you say 500 was nowt it was about breaking the 500 😆 😆
    Army just out of interest is 69 part of your DOB or is it a fav No 😆 😆 😉

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  51. 5-0! Lovely job, see all the scum fans left already? Still 15 mins to go… I’m gonna say 7 nil, Tevez and Silva to get another two…

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  54. Hear a few of my mackem mates saying they have an easy run in after this…

    West Brom at home who havn’t lost with Roy as manager then Birmingham away.

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  64. Toonsy
    I see uou have been on the Roker Roar winding up the mackems. Naughty boy

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  66. ‘one point above us and … … celebrating as though theyve won the lotterey,imbeciles of the most highest order ,normal service will be resumed ASAP’

    Er nope. 🙂

    Anybody who says ‘most highest’ is an imbecile. 🙂

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  67. Anyone else catch Yaya Toure nearing having a go with Balotelli at the end?

    Balotelli was actually laughing and smiling for a change with his arm around Toure and Toure was throwing his arm away and giving it the pointing finger right in his face. Balotelli just laughed at him.

    We need that guy. He would sell tickets just for the chance to see him snap.

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  69. They are shouting for Martin O’neill to come in.
    Why do they think he would want the job. Crackpots

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  73. TlR – I mat have popped on there and left a comment. I may pop on there and leave another 😉

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