Newcastle v Aston Villa – Premier League match preview

More home comforts?
This weekend the Magpies play host to the Villians, three of which used to turn out in our colours – wasted loan signing Steven Ireland, Frenchman Charles N’Zogbia and the living legend that is Shay Given.

We will be looking to tighten our grip on a Europa Cup place, whilst Villa will want to push on and break into the the top 10. New recruit Robbie Keane appears to have injected some belief into their side and together with £24m man Darren Bent, they now have an impressive looking front line. Our firepower is not looking too shabby these days either, with the new arrival Papiss Cisse set to join mercurial goal scoring machine Demba Ba – so this has the makings of some great attacking play.

Newcastle United:

Cheik Tiote (Cote D’Ivoire) is still away at the African Cup of Nations. Yohan Cabaye is on game two of his three match ban for violent conduct, whilst Alan Smith has gone to see out his contract at MK Dons on loan and has been joined by young prospect James Tavernier. Long term absentees include Steven Taylor (achilles), Sylvain Marveaux (groin) and Sammy Ameobi (knee).

Squad from: Krul, Elliot, Perch, Simpson, Santon, Ferguson, Williamson, Kadar, Coloccini, Gosling, Abeid, Guthrie, Gutierrez, Vuckic, Ben Arfa, Obertan, Best, Ameobi Snr, Ba, Cisse, Lovenkrands.

Aston Villa:

Ex-Toon favourite Habib Beye has been released and looks set to join Doncaster. Gabby Abonlahor (hamstring), Marc Albrighton (thigh) and James Collins (calf) are all doubtful, whilst Nathan Delfounso (Leicester) and Fabian Delph (Leeds) have gone on loan. Chris Herd (ankle) is out and Eric Lichaj (hip) is their only long term layoff apart from Loan signing and former Toon player Jermaine Jenas, who ruptured his achilles and will be out for the season.

Squad from: Given, Guzan, Cuellar, Hutton, Clark, Warnock, Collins, Dunne, Gardner, Ireland, Bannan, Petrov, Nzogbia, Albrighton, Weimann, Bent, Keane, Heskey, Agbonlahor.

Shamrock’s Really Interesting Top 10 Facts And Stats:

1 – There have been 17 of this exact fixture since the formation of the Premier League. Newcastle have won 11 and drawn 4. The last time Villa won at St James’ Park was a 3-0 win in 2005, whilst they will be keen to avoid a repeat of their 6-0 loss here last season.

2 – Darren Bent is on form, with four goals in his last five games helping him to achieve 100 career Premier League goals.

3 – With so much potential for goals in our respective teams’ forward lines, it seems appropriate to mention that the biggest scoreline in this fixture came on 10th March 1928 when the Toon triumphed 7-5!

4 – In terms of Premier League consistency, Villa come out on top. They are 5th in the all time standings with a total points haul of 1079. We are 8th with a total of 991.

5 – Despite his absence at the ACoN, Demba Ba is still this season’s 2nd most deadly Premier League marksman with 15 goals to his name. Robin Van Persie (22 goals) is in pole position and Sergio Aguero (14 goals) is in 3rd.

6 – The Villains have finished inside the Premier League top six a total of nine times, only breaching the top four once. We have finished inside the top six a total of seven times, but breached the top four on five occasions.

7 – Villa have less shots on goal than us (189-212), less shots on taget than us (73-91), less shooting accuracy than us (39%-43%) and less goals than us (26-32).

8 – Elsewhere, we have a better total of passes made this season than our counterparts (6409-5633) whilst our defence has been marginally better with only 30 goals conceded against their 31.

9 – This week’s Birthday Boy is Darren Bent, who turns 28 on the 6th – the morning after this match. Lets hope our boys can make it a subdued one for him!

10 – Finally – Aston-Villa’s Stiliyan Petrov is looking for his 10th Career Premier League goal, whilst Newcastle’s Tim Krul will be hoping to keep his 40th career clean sheet.

Tactical thoughts and ponderings:

Aston Villa are not as average as the tables would suggest, but their manager probably is. Martin O’Neill’s last three seasons at Villa Park saw his side finish 6th in the table every time. Since then, first under Gerard Houllier and now Alex McLeish – Villa find themselves slowly slipping down the pecking order. Granted they have lost the likes of Ashley Young, Brad Friedel and Stewart Downing in that period, but they have picked up Charles N’Zogbia, Shay Given and Darren Bent in the process.

Villa have a good blend of ‘innocence and experience’ in their side with the likes of Barry Bannan, Ciaran Clark and Marc Albrighton all coming through the ranks to ply their trade alongside the auld tooth’s such as Stiliyan Petrov, Richard Dunne and Robbie Keane. Not only are they a good blend of age, they are a quality squad with pace, trickery and striking prowess complimenting an experienced and steady back line maybe lacking slightly in the mobility department.

They were very unlucky to be held by QPR after a bad start as they dominated possession and had more chances on goal. Maybe the age gap means communication breaks down, or maybe their midfield does not work hard enough defensively? With N’Zogbia and Ireland on each wing they certainly possess an attacking threat – the latter in particular has finally begun to start working for his team in recent weeks, but he is not exactly known for tracking back with any enthusiasm or commitment. Ciaran Clark has been playing in the centre of the park alongside Stiliyan Petrov. Now Petrov is a smooth midfielder who has a bit of everything in his bag, but Clark is young and maybe not quite up to it as a midfielder – I personally think he’s a future central defender.

Both Warnock and Hutton are reasonably consistent full backs, but again they are not the fastest anymore. Pacey wingers could trouble them. Given has been warned by his manager than Brad Guzan is pushing hard for his place in the side – are his cat-like reactions finally showing signs of wear and tear? Up front it will likely be Keane and Bent. Bent will no doubt be advanced, ready to pounce on any chances inside the area whilst Keane sits slightly back and looks to run at our defenders and shoot from outside the area. Neither of these two drop very deep, which means our midfield should have an opportunity here to apply the pressure.

Recently, the Villains have not been in a rush to get at teams. They sit back knocking the ball about hoping to walk the ball into the back of the net it seems. They try to keep numbers back to avoid their defenders being exposed for pace, then look to counter with the skills that Ireland, N’Zogbia, Bent and Keane possess with the accurate passing of Petrov to set them up. This is all well and good, but it does not play to their strengths – which brings me back to McLeish, or ‘Big Eck’. No wonder the Villa fans were furious with his appointment. He used to be boss of their close rivals and got them relegated. Hardly a glowing CV if you are a claret at heart…

The man is in possession of some of the best forward thinking players in the league. If he gave the Zog, Ireland, his forwards and Petrov licence to really go for it whilst sitting Clark in the anchorman position and keeping his defensive line reasonably deep then I reckon his side would easily be in the top eight. However, he seems fixated on negative, guarded football. The patient game does not suit them. N’Zogbia is one of the league’s finest dribblers. He also has a canny shot on him. Bent relies on swift forward play to ghost in behind defenders whilst they don’t have time to think and Ireland – if in the mood – can and will do special things with the ball when he is camped on that 30 yard line.

Making them sit back goes against their instincts and although it makes them dangerous on the counter, it subdues them for far too long. So, how do we take advantage of these things? Well lets start with our left side. Steven Ireland wont be tracking back and whilst Alan Hutton is reasonably talented and well timed in the tackle, his constant stream of injuries have taken away some of his pace and stamina. We need to really attack down the left. Cuellar and Dunne will eat up crosses all day, but cutting inside the box and running at them is a different story. I’d be encouraging Gutierrez to do this at every opportunity and have a pop if he can’t find our forwards. Davide Santon should not have a problem with Ireland’s pace and can support Guti, but he will have to be wary of Coloccini and Williamson needing cover to deal with Keane and Bent – so I’d encourage him to sit a bit higher than the central defenders, but make sure he gets back quickly when we are not in possession.

On the opposite wing Danny Simpson is going to struggle with N’Zogbia, who has pace to burn and trickery galore. He can cross and shoot well and will be dangerous. The last thing we need is Simmo getting too advanced and losing the ball with a stray pass then getting stranded. He HAS to stay back in my opinion, as he needs to conserve his energy in order to be prepared for the occasions that his French counterpart gets forward.

With no Tiote or Cabaye, we have a slight problem when it comes to stamina and aggression through the middle. This could be a problem for us and the only way I can see us countering it, is to go 4-3-3. Gosling sat in the middle with the mobility to step back and assist our central defenders with slightly deep sitting Keane, with Guti and Guthrie either side of him, but reasonably wide. Guti advanced to really attack them and Guthrie staying back to spray the ball about and cover Simmo due to the threat of Petrov and the Zog.

Now then, the exciting bit. Villa are strong, good in the tackle and good in the air defensively. However, they are definitely slow and this is where our lads can really get at them. I’d be playing either Obertan or preferably Ben Arfa as a deep seated forward with two dedicated strikers in front of him. They can run all day and snake into the box, drawing fouls or shooting into the space made by the forwards drawing defenders out of position. This ensures one of Villa’s central midfielders is kept back, ensuring our own midfield is not over-run.

We have had the ‘Should Cisse Start?’ conversation and having really thought about it, I think the answer is yes. Ba has it all as we already know and will offer a physical presence up front, whilst from what we are told Cisse will offer that proper poacher mentality. Ideal for this game, as he is the sort of player Dunne and Cuellar will not relish playing against. Ameobi would be good for them, as he is big and slow – like them. They would not have too much trouble containing him, so for me Shola sits out against these very physical defenders. Leon Best should be on the bench, but at the end of the day Cisse is fit and needs Premier League experience – where better for him to start than at St James’ Park in font of his home crowd against a slow defence?

Tactically, it goes without saying this only works if we are pressing. I think there is enough balance there to keep us covered defensively, but accept we will lose the ball often and be prone to counters. However, the potential benefits of this game plan far outweigh the potential pitfalls, so I say lets really go for it! If we do, I can a comfortable two goal win, lets just hope the flat boring Newcastle don’t make an appearance!

Referee:

50-year-ols Mark Halsey takes the reigns for this one. He is Hertfordhire born and now a resident of Bolton. This is his 12th season as Premier League referee, so he is very experienced. He took the League Cup final of 2008 and has International football under his belt. We have won only 8 of the 24 games he has officiated, whilst Villa have won only 10 of the 32 he has taken for them – so no patterns to be wary of. This season was the man in the middle for our victory over Wolves, whilst he has taken Villa’s loss to Spurs and win against Chelsea.

A word from Demba Ba:

“It’s great to be back with the team, It’s been a while, and I’m very happy to be here. Now that I’m back I just have to forget about the African Cup of Nations and concentrate on the league with Newcastle. I got a very nice welcome from everybody at the training ground, all the players and staff. They were happy to see me, and I was happy to see them as well. It feels like I’m at home. It’s nice to be welcomed like that by the lads, and it was good to see them again. We had a great training session on Friday and I’d love to play a part against Aston Villa on Sunday.”

On signing Cisse:

“I was very pleased when we signed him – I think he’s going to be a very good player for Newcastle. He knows how to score goals, and he’s proved that throughout his career. I would love the chance to play with him here. I’ve played with him for country and I like playing with Papiss – he’s a magnificent striker. I hope we’re going to have a good player.”

On running out at St James’ Park:

“I can’t wait to do that,” he smiled. “I’ve missed everything about the place; the atmosphere, the fans all shouting – I love that. And I hope it’s going to continue like that on Sunday.”

Date: Sunday 5th February 2012
Kick Off: 13:30
Venue: St James’ Park

Howay the lads!

About Shamrock

Like everyone here, support Newcastle United. Not the easiest side to feel good about at times, but it's our side!

122 thoughts on “Newcastle v Aston Villa – Premier League match preview

  1. It’ll be interesting to see the line up, especially with Lovenkrands and Obertan showing their hand.

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  2. Very nicely done Shamrock. I agree with you. Would love to see us start the 2 Demba’s with Ben Arfa in behind. It means a lot of work for the 3 midfielders (Guthrie, Jonas, and Raylor/Obertan) but also a great attack. Go at them with confidence at home! Really looking forward to this one. Should be a special atmosphere especially if the Demba’s score! 😆

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  3. See Smith playing for MK Dons against Huddersfield was yellow carded and substituted after 63 minutes after committing numerous fouls. Now there’s a surprise.

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  4. @ 7 – If we go 4-4-2 then it’s not a bad shout – and it’s probably more likely than my suggestion in fairness.

    @Troy – No I dont. I live on the South Coast and rarely get up that way. Best I can hope for these days is the odd away game. I’m going to get up for a couple of the midlands games next season, provided I can get tickets! 🙂

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  5. FSOTC – If we go 4-4-2 we might as well play Raylor on the right wing. I cant see Obertan being effective enough in the tackle if he tracks back, same with Benny… He offers the crossing ability too, but obviously we lose a yard of pace. Really interested to see what Pards does!

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  6. FSOTC that is a likely lineup to start but I haven’t been thrilled with Best lately. He does have a nice touch on the ball sometimes but he wastes a lot of chances with his head. Very poor header of the ball for a big man. If we use 4 midfielders then Ben Arfa is out of luck. Not sure how we fit him into the team unless he learns to play better defensively and stops trying to beat 2 or 3 men. Jonas often gets into the same pattern and it just leads to turnovers and counterattacks.

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  7. i think that we will go with BA abd Best up front in the first instance and will and Oba will get the nod to start. When the lad scores a goal and puts his confidence high the last thing AP will want to do is bench him. I think Cisse will come in the second half to inject some adrenalin into us for the final 30 minutes and raise the tempo through the roof at the SD stadium.

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  8. Best has a strange way of shooting as well. Like he aims with his whole body and has to have his head pointing in the same direction as the target and then slots it with the inside of his right foot. I havn’t seen many strikers do that, its like the sort of thing a midfielder would do. He has got good power with both feet though, its almost as if his left is better but he doesn’t realise. The hat-trick was all on his left.

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  9. i think to start with something like this: Subs will depend on what is going on i guess.

    krul

    simmo colo williamson santon

    jonas guthrie Perch obatan

    Ba
    Best

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  10. ffs will someone please meet Troy after the game, its getting desperate this 🙄 😉

    MoN and sunderland are going to be a force to be reckoned with next season if they continue to impress, 8wins out of 12 nu 😯

    should be a cracker at StJames

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  11. Don’t think so Craig. Perch on the bench to start, and Raylor, Guthrie, Gosling, and Jonas across the midfield. Unless Pardew is brave enough to try Ben Arfa as a withdrawn striker with Ba up front in a 4-4-1-1. Anyway we will see tomorrow mate. Just as long as we get to see Cisse at least in the second half! 😀

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  12. Agree DJG, Best is a side foot shooter. It is very accurate, he doesn’t worry about net busters. I like his style that way but just worry that he can’t finish with his head whereas Ba is brilliant with his head. Somehow Pardew has to motivate Ben Arfa to work hard enough to force his way into the starting lineup consistently. The quality is in the side now so he doesn’t have to beat the opposition by himself. He can be a brilliant passer of the ball as well. Come on Benny be a team player!!!

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  13. geordietwo… i am not so sure as i have not one inclination that gosling will play, he seems down the order to me and defo not a number one choice. raylor i love the guy but i think he will get skinned too much tmrw and that ryalor is more i five man mid field player. i am going with the mega pace down each wing in jonas and obatoon. Jonas is needed to control zogs for sure, we agree on that. We also agree on guthrie i see. Its that left side issue again… you could say HBA but i think not. As Perch had MoM at bburn and Oba got his goal, i will go with them two.

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  14. @the bouncing butterfly

    I’m a social animal. I love the craic.

    I think it would be hilarious having a blog slosh up to see some of the characters. I can only imagine you in your Red Admiral outfit. 😛

    We must stop or the humourless crew will get upset with us. 😛

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  15. @Troy lol that would be good one day.

    I’m a more of a patrick boy myself although the bukta tracky B’s look good with the Partick top 😛

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  16. You could be right Craig. I’m not against seeing Obertan and Jonas on the wings. They are our only true wingers right now with Marveaux out and Raylor will play anywhere. I thought Perch looked good as a DM as well but don’t forget how weak the opposition was. This will be much more difficult with both Keane and Bent to watch for. We don’t have good options for CM other than Guthrie but I worry that Perch would be in over his head (as might Gosling). My feeling is Ben Arfa will be on the bench until he learns to work with the 2 Demba’s and improves his defensive game. We could even try Raylor as a CM but Pardew is pretty conservative. He has a lot more firepower available now though so please Pardew don’t screw the tactics up and leave the subs until it is too late!!

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  17. Craig, go to gravatar.com and sign up using the same e-mail you use here. It will guide you through finding a picture etc, then any site that you log into using the same e-mail address will put that picture next to your name…

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  18. Man City can’t even fill their stadium and they are top of the league.

    I’ve noticed Arsenal also have loads of empty seats but they always announce its a full house.

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  19. God its going to be a cold one at the game tomorrow 😯

    Coldest its felt in a while here and this is ‘Sunny’ Shields as well 😆

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  20. Theyve just announced there’s just less than 47k at Citeh.

    There’s massive gaps all over. They have to be fiddling the figures.

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  21. Ba is good at everything, all round top striker. Good with his head, two-footed, quick, good first touch, can play the channels, football brain, good free-kick and penalty taker, exceptional work rate. The list goes on and on and on.

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  22. And some have said Cisse is better than Ba. It is not humanly possible IMO. If so he would be at R Madrid or Milan.

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  23. nah pardew will likely play 442 with ameobi and ba upfront and raylor right wing.he likes direct play.65th minutes in cisse will replace ba who is likely knackered by then.

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  24. DJG – Agreed. Ba is immense. I think Cisse will be the guy that poaches inside the box, something we have been missing – as Best or Ameobi need time and space usually. I can see these two really going to work on defences together, provided Cisse adapts OK.

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  25. I see then Nottingham Forest owner has been found deceased in his gym. Things not going well for them.

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  26. Witters@36- Would of been better played today. Was down as a saturday match on all my fixture list but obviously moved. Hate to see it postponed as next up is Spuds and don’t see us getting much out of that tbh . This is our chance to push on and keep pressure on the chasing pack.Also a nice homegame to welcome Cisse.

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  27. celestine I can see Pards starting with the 4 4 2 but cant see it being Strolla 😯 and yeah I can see Cisse coming on round the 60 – 70 min mark to give the fans a chance to welcome him on.
    But as Witters says there is a chance that5 the white stuff could put a stop to it 👿

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  28. Dave…if my hometown sorted it’s weather out then I wouldn’t have had to, I’ll move back once this global warming malarkey kicks in 😉

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  29. Lawro…

    ‘I thought Newcastle’s form would drop off in the New Year but they have proved me wrong and done marvellously by winning four of their last six league games. I have to back them here.

    Prediction: 2-0’

    Kiss of death? 😕

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