The points total needed to keep NUFC up based on the last 10 seasons

The points total needed to keep NUFC up based on the last 10 seasons - can we do it?

by Simon Riddlesden · Published 27 February 2018, 15:00

It’s amazing how ten minutes or one goal can totally change your outlook as a football fan.

After beating Manchester United and then 2-0 up at Bournemouth with ten minutes to play, I had no doubt were heading to safety. Our late collapse to only take a point isn’t the first time this season we have thrown away leads late in the game; let’s hope we don’t rue them come May.

The draw leaves us on 29 points with ten games to play and just two points from the relegation zone. With that in mind, here's a look into what's been required to stay up over recent seasons.

What history says

We all know the magic 40 point rule but often you don’t need that to stay up. If we analyse what was needed to stay up over the last ten years you can, on average, say that 37/38 points would do it. We do have the advantage of a better goal difference against most of the teams down there with us at the moment – and that could prove crucial.

Season	17^th placed team	Points to stay up
2016/7	Watford	40
2015/6	Sunderland	39
2014/5	Aston Villa	38
2013/4	West Brom	36
2012/3	Sunderland	39
2011/2	QPR	37
2010/1	Wolves	40
2009/0	West Ham	35
2008/9	Hull	35
2007/8	Fulham	36
AVERAGE	-	37.5

What you say

The Chronicle have a handy Premier League predictor tool where you can predict our remaining games and those of our rivals so can predict the final table come May. Where do you think we will finish? Use the link below to find out for yourself…

https://twitter.com/ChronicleNUFC/status/967445169808297984

What we say

It is always incredibly difficult to predict Newcastle, we all know that. I had a go at looking at our remaining games and have us to pick up 10 points, putting us on 39 in total with a good goal difference. I would hope this would see us over the line and in the table below I have tried to predict our games.

Knowing Newcastle though, we may pick up points at home to the likes of Arsenal and Chelsea but lose to West Brom; but 10 points from those games would stack up to us accruing a point game, which is what we have done all season.