According to world famous statistician Nate Silver’s blog Five Thirty Eight, Newcastle will finish the season in 14th place on 41 points.
The results suggest we’ll pick up 10 points in our final 9 games of the season, stating we’d finish 9 points above the relegation zone – with them predicting for Cardiff, Fulham and Huddersfield to go down.
Here’s the full table, with them having City to win the title, Chelsea to sneak in at 4th, Watford to finish in 7th and ourselves in 14th – ahead of Brighton, Burnley and Southampton, but five points behind Crystal Palace in 13th:
1. Manchester City – 93 points
2. Liverpool – 91 points
3. Tottenham – 77 points
4. Chelsea – 75 points
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5. Arsenal – 73 points
6. Manchester United – 73 points
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7. Watford – 54 points
8. Wolves – 54 points
9. West Ham – 50 points
10. Everton – 48 points
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11. Leicester City – 47 points
12. Bournemouth – 46 points
13. Crystal Palace – 46 points
14. Newcastle – 41 points
15. Brighton – 40 points
16. Burnley – 39 points
17. Southampton – 38 points
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18. Cardiff City – 32 points
19. Fulham – 25 points
20. Huddersfield – 21 points
Interestingly, this has Cardiff to go down in third bottom on 32 points – meaning, on this basis, we’d only need point or two over the next 9 games to stay up if this did turn out to be the Bluebirds final points total.
Yes would be happy with that! However would the same computer have predicted Newcastle to beat Man City or Palace to win at Man City. In the real life football is all about 11 vs 11 (plus subs for both sides) it is not played by computer controled robots.
There will be plenty shocks before the final whistle of every game.
But I do believe we will be around 14th maybe higher!
Brian Hall(Quote)